Call It A Comeback
Apparently, Roskam didn’t say that Duckworth’s plan was to cut and run. So here’s the correction.
UPDATE: Oh hell, just go read the articles and this
See above for more on the whole ‘cut and run’ debacle in terms of how absolutely stupid the entire debate has become. as NW Burb put it. Sad. Very Sad.
I’m listening to John Fund whine that most young people don’t vote so the Daily Show’s demographics don’t matter.
Let me bother everyone with a fairly basic observation from likely voter theory 101.
The folks who are ‘younger’ sort or like the bloggers are ‘young’ (for example Markos and I are 35) aren’t much different from most voters in that those who seek out information about politics are more likely to vote–hence seeking out such information. If you can follow the Daily Show that is relatively high level political discourse–probably higher than most CNN/MSNBC/Fox shows–then one tuning in is likely to be more lilely to vote and the challenge for candidates or opinion shapers who appear is to boost turnout or turn the occasional swing voter watching to them.
IOW, appearing on the show if far from irrational. Appearing is very rational because it attracts those likely voters amongst hard to reach groups.
Doh…pundit whining will not stop, but perhaps making fun of them may increase now.
It seems to me that AFSCME and IEA in not endorsing anyone for Governor aren’t so much taking a stand for none-of-the-above as they are avoiding a really bad outcome of having endorsed Judy and having Rod win. Download file for AFSCME’s endorsement list
It hurts Judy especially given many of the social conservatives who work hard on GOTV already are lukewarm to absolutely hostile towards her and these two organizations would have given her a stronger GOTV operation. This looks like two more nails in the coffin.
Gianoulis and Radogno didn’t get endorsed by AFSCME either.
While the comments at Capitol Fax are trying to attack Dan Hynes, here’s an interesting line from a Pantagraph Editorial on October 10, 2002
Illinois Comptroller Dan Hynes was written off by Republicans in late 2000 and the spring of 2001 when he visited newspaper editorial boards in city after city barking the same warning – Illinois was spending more than it was taking in and reserves were diminishing. “Politics,” was the usual response from Republicans who said Hynes was an aspiring politician just stirring up publicity because he planned to run for governor in 2002.
Well, 2002 is here. Hynes is not running for governor. And instead of talking about raking in $1.4 billion more than anticipated in revenues, the state is facing $1.7 million in debt.
Hynes has been doing this for years. Complaining that the guy who has the job of providing accurate financial outlooks for the state is continuing to offer accurate financial outlooks is a bit bizarre.
There is no good reason to protect Adobe documents from having text copied from them. It limits dissemination of the information. Please stop.
There are a couple choices today given the Auditor General’s findings, but the absolutely FEMA like organization of the CPA is stunning.
The Death of Policy
One former CPA employee who had an office near O’Beirne’s wrote an e-mail to a friend describing the recruitment process: “I watched r?sum?s of immensely talented individuals who had sought out CPA to help the country thrown in the trash because their adherence to ‘the President’s vision for Iraq’ (a frequently heard phrase at CPA) was ‘uncertain.’ I saw senior civil servants from agencies like Treasury, Energy . . . and Commerce denied advisory positions in Baghdad that were instead handed to prominent RNC (Republican National Committee) contributors.”
We’ve seen it at Treasury with Paul O’Neil. We’ve seen it with Faith Based Initiatives with DiIulio . We’ve seen it at FEMA. We’ve seen it with Zoellick. We saw it at the CIA.
Yet, we get the Whitehouse and personnel treated as serious people. Why?
Having talked to many campaign workers, the bill not only would increase accountability, but it also would make their jobs far easier and I’m betting far more accurate. A friend is currently the compliance officer for Claire and trying to get the reports out is a nightmare–so go here and read about a bipartisan bill to improve the situation and get the Senate to disclose online–for comparison, Illinois’ campaign finance laws are far better than what relates to the US Senate in terms of disclosure.
First, if you want a good analysis of his national numbers there is only one place to go anymore and that is Charles Franklin’s Political Arithmetik. Charles actually does this work as a working political scientist and views it as a professional question, not as someone with a partisan angle. And he’s really, really good.
Bush has bounced up to around 40%, though that’s not exactly something to be excited about.
What’s interesting is the effect in Illinois. While he’s moved up from the mid-30s nationally and a little lower, his Illinois numbers are pretty much stagnant according to this month’s Survey USA poll which puts him at 31% approval. Both the national unweighted and weighted come close to Charles’ trend line so that is consistent with other polling. Bush has jumped between 28 and 33 percent approval for several months.
The local effect is that any movement upwards for Bush is unlikely to be helpful to the Illinois GOP where Bush is just toxic.
As one of the biggest fans of David Simon’s work and all dramas Baltimore, I’m a little peeved I’ve been overlooked for a blogad from The Wire. Having seen the first two episodes, it’s off to another fine season as the Best Damn Show on Television since Homicide (this was a common phrase from Homicide fans during its tenure). And even better news, it’s been renewed for a fifth and final season.
If you haven’t watched the previous seasons, pick them up at your local DVD rental store and enjoy.
Some personal business came up. I might post a bit, but I doubt it. Back Monday.
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