Illinois Senate

Thank Goodness for Eric Zorn

He has done the hard work of rounding up all the major (and minor in my case) reactions to the file release.

I think the most interesting is the Sun-Times editorial page that was quite critical of even going after the files:

When we endorsed Ryan, we said he would “best represent the highest principles and traditions of the Republican Party.” In light of his unprincipled behavior in handling this crisis — which doesn’t reflect well on how he would handle a crisis in office — we can no longer say that. And it’s safe to say that Ryan has alienated such staunch party figures as state Republican chairman Judy Baar Topinka, who is furious at Ryan for letting her think there was nothing embarrassing in the court papers — if these revelations aren’t embarrassing, what does he think is? — and former Gov. Jim Edgar, who also was kept in the dark about the sex clubs. Ryan should now do the honorable thing, which is to step down from the nomination and let the party choose someone else to run against Democrat Barack Obama. The scandals of one Ryan, former Gov. George Ryan, have already damaged the political fortunes of the Republican Party; the GOP can do without this Ryan dragging it down further. And Illinois voters deserve a better choice in the November election for U.S. Senate.

Now, TV Guide

Which officially reaches the most ignorant of voters known as last minute deciders.

RESISTANCE IS FUTILE: Star Trek: Voyager Borg Jeri Ryan accused her former husband, Republican Senate candidate Jack Ryan, of trying to coerce her into performing sex acts at various clubs while others (Janeway, the Doctor, the entire Borg collective) watched. The charges ? first leveled during the couple’s bitter child-custody battle back in 2000 ? were made public on Monday. In the documents the actress also acknowledged infidelity on her part, but only after the marriage was irretrievably broken.

What’s the Calculus?

So here is the issue that makes the whole debacle interesting–who plays what hand?

If you are social conservative how do you play the hand so that you keep a social conservative on the ticket?

Is supporting Jack! better for you than getting him replaced by a RINO (Republican in Name Only)? If they do better than expected doesn’t that weaken you? If such a creature makes it you need them to bomb.

Or can you find someone socially conservative to take the spot and get the Central Committee to go along? Who fits that bill? Rauschenberger? But he won’t say he’d take it as long as Jack! is in, and he doesn’t want to be a two time loser. Who else is there that can get through the Central Committee and please social conservative? Maybe Oberweis? Pretty please with sugar on top?

If you are a moderate you want to find a consensus candidate who is going to be good enough to get people out on election day. Who can do that? The argument amongst many is that Edgar, Topinka or Big Jim might be able to. But a few problems–conservatives dislike the first two–actually hate Topinka. Big Jim has been out of the game and is too liberal for social conservatives. All three would insist on funding from the NRSC and the national Republicans already wrote this off. Worse, you might not have a significant chunk of the conservative base even bother to vote if any of those three are at the top.

On top of that Topinka doesn’t really want it–shes gearing up for Flowbeejovich and O’Malley in ’06. Edgar really seems to be happy in semi-retirement and Big Jim could result in a lot of nastiness from other Republicans. Corrinne Wood would be run up a flagpole by the social conservatives and that is about it that is left of moderates–other than some legislators not dumb enough to fight this fight.

Frankly, I don’t think anyone is sure of what the hell to do yet. They’ll let it shake out for several days as Jack! wears down and see if they can get the upperhand in replacing him. And if he proves to be obstinate, he might just sit there with a civil war going on around him, but not directly about him.

And the Kicker from the Fax

Is a reminder of what Kelli Phiel said just a few short weeks ago (from the Capitol Fax

Here’s a campaign that just a few weeks ago was vigorously defending its
absolute right to hire a guy to video stalk Barack Obama to the point where even Obama’s telephone conversations with his wife were recorded, and now issues talking points that include this line, “Once you go down this path, who in his right mind would ever want to run for office?”

Back when Ryan was still defending the video stalking, this is what his
spokesperson, Kelli Phiel, said about Obama’s complaints, “If he’s running for
public office, he should expect public attention.”

What’s good for the goose…

Lots of other good stuff too….

Nothing Embarrassing?

This guy might just stay in because he’s a bit delusional–From the Capitol Fax

During two morning radio interviews, an afternoon press conference and a television interview last night, Ryan continued to maintain that he had never said that there was nothing embarrassing in his legal files.

But that simply was not the truth. Ryan said “I don’t think so,” when asked
during a pre-primary radio interview whether the files contained embarrassing
material. He told a Daily Herald reporter “No,” when pressed with the same
question following a candidates’ debate. Before the primary, when news first
leaked that something very bad was in the files, Ryan cranked out thousands of
robocalls urging Republican voters to “ignore these false attacks.”

What Might Durbin Look Into?

The level of delusions of political novices never fails to astonish me. DISCLOSE EVERYTHING! Just do it because when you do run, and you don’t, this gets written about you in the Capitol Fax:

THE SMELL OF DEATH

HE’S COME UNDONE A few years ago, Jack Ryan had a long talk with
Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka. Ryan was thinking about running against Sen. Dick Durbin at the time, and so he sought Topinka’s advice. Word is that Ryan spent most of the meeting asking vague questions about what sort of background search Durbin might run, and what Durbin might use against him. He was told to expect the worst if he had anything in his past that might be embarrassing. In other words, Ryan knew this would be a problem years ago, even though he now claims that he never believed that his sealed records would ever be made public.

There’s dumber and dumbest and Jack! is apparently both. Going beyond anything about the veracity of the claims or whether they should be damaging, allowing the press to disclose is stupid.