G-Rod

Comparisons

“Did you know that Bill Clinton wants to give healthcare to people who have never worked a day in their life? God teaches prosperity”

–Robert Tilton circa 1994/5 at 4 AM on my teevee

 Today

“If you’re sick and your next-door neighbor is sick, but you can see a doctor and he or she can’t, that isn’t how God intended it to be,” Blagojevich said from the front steps of the Fourth Presbyterian Church, where he attended morning services with his wife and two young daughters. “Everyone — everyone — should have access to affordable, quality healthcare.”

I do think it is a moral imperative to provide universal health care and that is informed by my religious faith, but I can make the argument without invoking Jesus or God.  And I do.   Because of the comparison above.

H/T Rich 

Pat Quinn in ‘07

Jeebus, based on a study over six months and only looking at sales,

Blagorgeous overturns HB 4050 which required risky buyers to attend financial counseling.

Lenders who complained to me about the bill claimed they made it possible for people to get loans whose credit rating made it impossible for them to get loans from banks.

They said such people might have gone into debt at one time due to unemployment or a medical problem but now were back at work and needed to borrow to repair or roof or purchase a car.

Although Madigan called them “predatory lenders,” people working at these mortgage firms claimed they were doing a public service.

So do the pay day loan operations. It doesn’t make the claim any less ridiculous.

While I am not disparaging the work of the two authors who did the study because the purpose of the study is to compare the law to that of others–the sales data in Table 2 is kind of shocking. The report is that there is a significant difference between the sales in the targeted area and the area they are using to compare. So much so that I have no idea how the two are comparable.

In the fall of 2005 the targeted areas had about 74 sales for 1000 housing units they compared (see the table for more detail–page 35). The comparison area had 18 sales out of 1000 housing units.

Let me go out on a limb here and suggest the comparison and the target populations are not the same and, in fact, have significantly different market characteristics and as such, comparisons are very difficult if not impossible to make.

The authors certainly raise important questions and I think it’s legitimate to say that they have valid points about how the targeted area was chosen, but essentially, the Governor just pulled the plug on a pilot program that has some anecdotes supporting it and some anecdotes questioning the quality of the program. To sort that out you then follow the program and evaluate it after enough time has passed.

Then again, what do you expect from a guy without an attention span. 3 months seems like 3 years. Wait, 3 months seems like 3 years watching the inevitable trainwreck of this administration unfold.

Wanker of the Day

Gilbert Jimenez

State university employees began the training in September. According to the state ethics Web site, it should have taken them “no more than one hour” to read the materials. There is no warning that employees must spend a minimum amount of time on it.

Those who finished too fast received letters from the state and the university.

“Contrary to instructions, you appear to have failed to carefully read and review the subject matter contained in the program’s introduction and three lessons,” according to the state’s letter to Zeman.

The letter also instructs employees to sign a statement acknowledging that future failure to complete the training “on a timely basis” will result in disciplinary action “up to including termination.”

Zeman, president of SIU’s Faculty Association, said he is refusing to sign the letter and encouraging other faculty members not to sign. The faculty union has filed a grievance against the university.

“Imagine what would happen to me if I failed a student because he was too quickly doing an exam. I would probably be fired,” said SIU math professor Walter Wallis, who also has to redo the ethics training after completing it in about seven minutes. “The whole thing is kind of absurd. Most of us did what is essentially the same thing, with the same training, a year earlier. Are we supposed to have forgotten it all?”

Jimenez, however, said that this year’s training included updated lessons pertinent to an election year, including a warning that employees only could engage in political activity during half of their one-hour lunch break. The other half is state-paid time when they are prohibited from doing political work.

“The reality is that somebody who works an 8-hour day all year long works 2,080 hours a year,” Jimenez said. “It does not seem unreasonable to expect state employees to take 30 minutes out of their busy work year to complete the ethics training.”

I know several professors at SIU. None of them work 2,080 hours a year. They work many more if they are still trying to get tenure and even after that most do as well.

Trying to argue with people who deal with curriculum for a living that they did not spend enough time on a ‘test’ is one sign that you are a moron. A big one.

If someone can pass your test without taking the time you think they should, the problem isn’t the test taker, it’s the person giving the test. Tests can do many things, but in this case the relevant point of the test appears to be that state employees should be able to demonstrate an adequate understanding of state ethical guidelines. If passing the test does not do that adequately by itself, then why is the test given?

You, Mr. Jimenez are wasting the valuable time of state employees and thus, the tax dollars of every citizen in Illinois. Congratulations.

Moron.

Gross Incompetence

Hitting Head on Wall

Illinois officials negotiating with Ecosse were not aware that to consummate the purchase of the flu vaccine, a contract was necessary. Not until almost three weeks after the State agreed to purchase the flu vaccine, did the Special Advocate negotiating the purchase become aware that a contract was needed to purchase the vaccine. On November 10, 2004, the Special Advocate indicated, in an e-mail to an official at the Department of Public Aid,

“…I have been talking to the Budget Office, the Dep. Governor, etc. and nobody has said word one about a contract. We have been told several times, the payment would be processed COD. If someone needs a contract, then you or someone else needs to get it done without delay….”

The contract entered into between the State and Ecosse was not timely.

– The contract with Ecosse to purchase 254,250 doses of the influenza vaccine was signed on January 13, 2005 by an official from the Governor’s Office, which was 2 days after Ecosse submitted a billing for the vaccine of approximately $2.6 million.

– State officials signed the contract 6 days prior to Ecosse officials signing the contract on January 19, 2005. The term of the contract was for the period October 20, 2004 through June 30, 2005.

– The amount of the State’s obligation under the contract was estimated to be $2,592,218. This is the exact amount billed by Ecosse to the State on an invoice
dated January 11, 2005 ? 8 days prior to Ecosse signing the contract with the State.

That’s just a start.

New Survey USA Numbers

Blagojevich 43%
Topinka 37%

and a very unhappy electorate:
Other 15%
Undecided 4%

Weirdest number with women: G-Rod 47%, Topinka 30%

I’d say both have problems with their respective bases from the cross tabs, but Judy’s is more pronounced. Actually G-Rod’s would be bad news for him if her problems weren’t greater (sensing a theme here?)

Amongst Republicans 18% are supporting other, and 10% G-Rod. Amongst Dems it’s 9% Other and 15% Topinka. 23% of conservatives are supporting other. Liberal numbers are lower, but still high.

African-Americans support G-Rod with 84% (remember Meeks was still probably in when this was done) with 6% to Topinka and 6% to other. It’s not the Meeks challenge drawing away African-Americans. It’s the social conservatives angry at Judy and then Rod’s problems with many Dems driving the relatively high crossover numbers.

It’s only May so these people may migrate to some degre.

The Good

$1.5 Billion in construction.

This should be one of the less contentious issues and not tied to structural spending so the boost is a positive.

Small schools is a great idea–while I don’t believe it’s entirely a strong finding, there is a lot of evidence they can improve educational completion. Again, this is not a continuing cost so boosting spending in the short term is fine.

I’m skeptical of identity schools, but there is a lot of support for them and as long as local districts are making the decision, fine. Again, transition funding doesn’t create an ongoing category in the budget.

Consolidation is good, though still voluntary. The point of curriculum allignment is a big deal and shouldn’t be overlooked. Again, this isn’t an ongoing expense so it is a reasonable expense for short term expenditures.

Special ed funding–great idea and necessary, but the transition will be far longer than the projections.

Mentoring for teachers is probably one of the more effective ways to improving teaching quality. The key point here is to align requirements at all levels which is often difficult to do.

Improving Educational Colleges is all correct in the generals, but the details are incredibly difficult to address. I think this is an area that is going to be far more vexing than people think.

Performance Pay–eh. Whatever. Not a horrible idea, but difficult to effectively implement.

My personal feeling is that teachers need to better understand how to relate test results to pedagogical style and student needs. When teachers get test results they are often not well trained in using that to evaluate how they teach and so self-evaluation suffers.

The textbook plan is solid in general–and once on the new schedule, that funding should be continued making this a structural change in education funding. I believe the attempt is to sell it as a catch-up, but realistically, the need is always there and the state has skipped out on it for too long. What is extremely positive is the means test of the funds for Districts.

The technology bit is fine–I tend to think we oversell technology in the classroom so the devil is in the details. Students should have access to decent computers and reasonably up-to-date software so while I think there is probably too much in this category, it’s not an unreasonable position. If the tutoring for math and reading is done electronically, a lot of the results can better be tracked by school personnel.

Library and other financing is important for poorer districts especially. Libraries should be fun, vibrant places in schools and improving them potentially improves literacy.

Absolutely critical–revamping the state career and technical education curriculum. While this one won’t get much press attention, it should.

Extending the school year is another critical point of the plan and whether there is adequate funding is a good question. Ultimately, it’s a step toward year around school which is a far more effective calendar than one based on agricultural cycles.

The parental involvement piece is nice, but no one has solved that riddle yet so I’d don’t take it that seriously. Nice try though and perhaps something good will come out of it.

The real questions are probably on the financial end. While I have some serious reservations, the real position to critique it from is what are the new programs that are worthwhile in the plan? And from there, then fight over how to fund it or if it can be funded. The cheap answer is to simply say it’s a bad financing plan–that might be the case, but is it better to not have the programs or to find another way to finance it–I’d argue the second, this is a strong proposal on the merits even if the financing has many issues.

The Structural Spending

Some of the money is one-shot, other is structural spending that will have to be supported over time. Looking at page 52, here are some of the categories that are structural:

Foundation Level: $250 Million
Special Ed Funding: $200 Million

The rest may be structural, but some of it is simply transitional and as such, a few years of funding may be adequate.

After those 4 years, there is a huge question as to how it would continue to be funded.

Guv’s Proposal

Policy Wise A

Okay, I was gearing up to bitch about it, and after getting through the unnecessary crap about previous Governors, much of the plan is innovative and quite strong. There are a few quibbles here and there on substance, but it is very, very good.

The financial end–I’m not quite there yet.