G-Rod

It’s Good

Rod’s new commercial. Very good. One of the better parts is an admission of having problems and then quickly transitioning into having a new daughter. Yeah, politicos think it’s lame, but that sort of transition hits a lot of voters as important–it’s a values thing.

On the flip side, I don’t even know what to say about this. I’ve complained so much about this administration over the last three years and it’s ties to wankers I’m being worn down in not wanting to repeat myself over and over and over again.

If Judy is the nominee, this sort of crap will be what gives her the advantage and that puts All Kids at risk as well as universal Pre-K.

If Oberweis is the nominee, only the Governor can elect him.

National Attention for G-Rod and Illinois Dems

With his proposal for universal pre-k (something all states should be moving towards), Blagojevich is getting good press for a very progressive agenda over the last few years. Newman lists some of the most important issues that the Democratic Legislature and Governor have passed for those who agree with them, though I’d add Blagojevich’s Pharmacy rule as a critical progressive initiative as are Patti’s efforts to expand access and education surrounding contraceptives. Important environmental initiatives are his move to reduce mercury emissions and incentives for fuel efficiency.

Ezra Klein added to that in praise of the Pre-K plan as does Sam Rosenfeld who suggests the progressive agenda should trump concerns over corruption and references the complaints over the Blagojevich Administration

I’ll give this to the administration is that so far, the scandal hasn’t reached as high as scandals in Jim Edgar’s administration and it’s hard to make the case that it’s any worse than business as usual. It may well turn out that there are actual quid pro quos for donations, but as of right now, the best evidence is that there are the typical convenient arrangements between donors and donees in an all too comfortable arrangement.

All that said, there are several issues where I think Rosenfeld completely misses the mark on why so many Democrats and progressives are upset with the Blagojevich administration. First and foremost, he promised to run the state differently than it has been run in the past and he hasn’t. It’s a broken promise and that counts. Of course, on that issue there is no serious Republican who can argue they’ll be much better without being so repugnant on policy as to be not a consideration.

More importantly, the corruption does affect social justice. Tony Rezco, who the Governor refuses to throw under the bus so far, has been identified as the real proprietor of Crucial Inc which has received state and Chicago business as a minority contractor. Rezko does not qualify as a minority and appears to have put the company together to skirt those rules.

This is simply unacceptable for those that share values of equal opportunity.

Further, his refusal to even consider increases in the sales or income tax means that these gains may be temporary. Without a fiscal base to pay for these programs, it is not certain they can continue. The Early Child Care initiative will be expensive and the state budget is not in good shape. We still have K-12, Higher Ed, and transportation infrastructure to work on while adding two new programs. If correct about managed care, the All Kids initiative won’t be too burdensome, but there is no cheap way to do universal pre-k.

At the same time, he is continuing practices that look an awful like Pay to Play or Pay to Lay as Birkett recently called it in a great line, and that saps the budget of money as favored interests get money that should be utilized for those initiatives that are progressive. Tony Rezco and Panda Pavillion aren’t in need of help, poor kids with substandard education are–and he has no significant plan to reform the state funding formula which is killing poor rural school districts even with the extra funds that have gone into K-12 education.

Being progressive is more than simply spending money–its creating sustainable conditions for such programs so that while they will continue exist in the future, they won’t be well funded. There are structural problems in the Illinois budget that put several of these initiatives at risk over the long term.

I can’t say I didn’t expect it from Blagojevich because in 2002, I predicted pretty much what has happened. If the legacy of strong policy initiatives is to continue beyond Rod’s Administration whether that be in one year or 5 or perhaps more, the budget has to be put on solid footing. Balanced budgets are critical to social justice in the long term.

I will give the Blagojevich Administration that reality is tough right now given the federal government is spending like there is no tomorrow and decreasing money to state governments. That certainly exacerbates the problems, but it is not the only problem that exists with the Illinois budget.

Crossposted at Illinoize

Find a way to pay for it

And I’ll endorse tomorrow. No joke–in fact, I said this before

This is an issue I’ve done quite a bit of work on over the last few years and I feel quite strongly about it. I’ll be adding more to this over the next week in what I hope can be a fairly in depth policy analysis of why this is important–nay, essential. The most basic point is that the Minneapolis Fed study by Art Rolnick found that spending on early childhood education is one of the best investments a government can make. It far outstrips garbage like incentives for individual businesses and other targeted tax breaks of subsidies for business.

All that said, he has to pay for it, and without a significant increase in general revenue funds, this initiative is probably impossible. As I often make the point, if you don’t balance the budget, social justice cannot be achieved because you limit the ability of future generations to continue worthwhile programs or ameliorate future social problems. The doomsayers go overboard in suggesting the state is about go under, but adding this kind of initiatives without increasing revenues will result in Really Bad Thing (TM) down the road.

Good Party

More Press Releases like this please

Now, it just needs to be up here and e-mailed to a broader audience (you can even black out Steve Brown’s phone as I did for that broader audience) (oh, and allow people to do copy and paste with text)

In more fun news…

While a slight embarrasment to the administration, it appears the estimates on the number of kids who will be covered is less than originally estimated, meaning the cost will even be lower. So, Republican candidates—if it doesn’t burst the budget, what’s your position?

And while I’m giving the Party some credit—they are updating the event portion of the web site which is a start at least.

Cegelis Interview Later This Week

Christine gave me a good amount of time yesterday. I didn’t have the twins begging for attention so I was able be a bit more organized for this one.  I imagine I’ll have it up Wednesday/Thursday.  Tenatively, I’m planning on posting some of it at Illinoize and some at Soap Box Chicago if Jeff likes the idea. 

More From Research 2000 Poll

Hotline has the full results. 
Blagojevich 52%
Oberweis 33%

Blagojevich  57%
Gidwitz 22%

Gidwitz even loses in the collar counties while Oberweis gets Blagojevich over 50%. 

What’s great about these numbers is that Oberweis has 28% approval and 35% approval.  For someone without a strong identity amongst the general public, more dislike him than like him.  That’s tough to pull off. 

The Gidwitz/Rauschenberger plan continues to never need to unravel because it never raveled with Gidwitz have a 9% approval and 8% disapproval. IOW, Whodwhitz. 

I understand those who just won’t support Topinka because they disagree/dislike her, but it’s painfully obvious she’s the only one with shot at beating Blagojevich short of him being indicted. 

UPDATE: There are more numbers in the Hotline, but I won’t post all of them out of respect for their subscribers. Just in case anyone is curious why I only listed what I did. 

I Don’t Get It

I’m generally a pretty sympathetic guy to challenges to the Governor and have been criticizing the guy since before he took office, but I’m not seeing anything credible here. I don’t know where he’ll be before the current day and don’t see any serious arguments against the Governor.

Really, I’m sympathetic, but where’s the beef? Saying the Governor is a pain in the ass is certainly true, but it doesn’t address how he’ll be better or how he’ll win. Nor does it point out how Eisendrath plans on funding such a campaign–an internet ad doesn’t quite cut it.

In theory, I want to get it, but I don’t.