ArchPundit

Iowa and Back Wednesday

OK, I’m finishing up another series of antibiotics and starting to feel better. So I should be back tomorrow sometime (today is Ms. ArchPundit’s Birthday).

That said

1) Campaigns organized to turn out new voters never turn out that way–see Donkey Rising for more on that. Dean’s bluster on new voters isn’t nearly as compelling as people keep claiming.
2) But, Campaigns with the most money in the primary almost always win
3) John Kerry is acting like a human being again
4) John Edwards was a mystery–he was running a great campaign and wasn’t getting traction. Apparently that traction came later.
5) Dean is a bigger winner than people realize last night. There is now space for an anti-Dean, but three serious candidates to fill it. They have to turn away from attacks on Dean and attack each other. Clark vs. Kerry will be the worst with Edwards being the voice of optimism. Meaning welcome to the Dean vs. Edwards race. Dean has the money, one of the other three have to rise to the top. Attacking each other drags down poll numbers for candidates in a tit-for-tat and so Edwards gets the free pass.
6) Bob Graham will be the VP candidate with the general election triggering a Jeb vs. Bob showdown in Florida. Graham fills in holes for Dean and Edwards, reinforces Kerry’s background in foreign affairs and provides a Southern duo with Clark.

I miss talking about the Senate race. Be back in full force tomorrow.

So, I Can’t Help Myself II

Eric Zorn mentions the closing of the Fannie May and Fannie Farmer candy factory and sale to a buyer likely to move it elsewhere.

The missing point in the story is that big business is beating up on small business. Sugar is a key component to candies and ADM pressures the federal government to maintain sugar quotas that keep corn sweetener prices competitive with sugar prices.

The next time you hear a politician claiming sugar subsidies (in the form of quotas) save American jobs, remember to ask them about the jobs they cost. And then check to whom ADM is giving money–there is a signficant correlation.

So, I Can’t Help Myself

Kooky Kucinich is hitting the Natural Law Party beat again. While I’m unconcerned with nutty beliefs in the abstract, the Natural Law Party wants to turn faith based science into policy. We would not find it funny (actually we do not find it funny when Christian Reconstructionists attempt to impose their beliefs in public policy. We shouldn’t find it funny when other strange beliefs try to impose themselves on public policy. That is, unless you think that prisons ought to adopt transcendental meditation with a bit of yogic flying thrown added.

Well, maybe funny, but not serious.

As an added synergy, the Religious Counterfeits web site funded by Ahmanson takes on the Mahareshi Mahesh Yogi.

Are Democrats going to allow this sort of pseudoscientific nonsense to have a place in the party? I should hope not given how many of us complain about creationism.

It is important to respect faith, but not those who would impose it upon others.

The Winner of the Simon Eulogy Sweepstakes

While I don’t want to treat the death of a great man as a joke, it is true that some of the eulogies in op-eds are boiler plates and some really capture the essence of the person being eulogized. I thought that many were quite good this time with Kass being one of the best. Even a bit better is Rich Miller’s weekly column which has a unique take on Simon. Given taste varies widely, I’ll defend the choice by saying I had a Grandmother much like Rich’s father and so I relate to his point better. My Grandmother never voted for Simon, but she did respect him more than most other ‘socialists’. And yes, she is rolling over in her grave at one of her grandkids–actually several. I’m the only one that votes in every election so while she may not approve of my choices, they will be tormented forever in the afterlife for every election they missed.

For the 1990 election I remember a friend, in our obsessive youth, all of a sudden noticing that Paul Simon wanted to spend more money on social programs than we generally trusted the government to do (a relative notion compared to more conservative readers). To me this was an odd objection simply because, well duh, Paul Simon was very liberal. I pointed out his support for balanced budgets and I believe the friend voted for him. But the discussion was strange because I had never realized how much I had bought into Paul Simon’s legend. This disturbed me that I had bought into a public persona. Later, in a fit of realizing what I should have long ago, it dawned on me that it wasn’t just a public persona, but a truly decent human being.

Paul Simon, dad explained back then to his completely astonished sons, was honest. Unlike most politicians, dad said, you could trust Simon’s word. Barely out of high school, Simon bought a newspaper and used it to rail against the mob and its political allies in the Metro East. He had real guts, dad said. Simon eventually owned a string of newspapers throughout southern Illinois, demonstrating a considerable business savvy, which my father admired.

I’ve always found it astonishing that a staunch conservative and Dillard Republican like my father would have so much respect, even reverence, for one of the most liberal Democratic Senators this state has ever produced. But dad’s opinion helped me to understand that Simon’s voting record wasn’t why voters gave him two terms in the Senate and would have gladly given him as many as he wanted.

It was the fact that voters believed they were electing an honest, decent, intelligent, thoughtful man to represent them to their nation’s highest legislative body. It wasn’t about sound bites, or good hair, or the latest wedge issue. It was, instead, about the pride in knowing that they were sending one of their state’s very best citizens to Washington, DC. They trusted him to do the right thing, even if they didn’t always, or usually, agree with him.

My grandmother did vote for one Democrat I think, but that was before I was born. It turns out that the Republican Sheriff arrested my father for some sort of weapons violation when my father shot a peeping tom who turned out to be said sheriff’s cousin. Today, the entire process would have been different, but in rural McLean County in the 1960s, my Dad was within his rights and that signalled the final straw for that Sheriff’s political career. Or maybe that was the primary where he was thrown out–if that is the case, she never spent more time in the booth than to punch the Republican straight ticket.

Miller’s father is voting for Dean now, perhaps showing a similar trajectory that Goldwater followed. As he aged Goldwater moderated his views on several issues. The most hysterical was his gruff take on gays in the military–it doesn’t matter if a soldier is straight, it matters if they can shoot straight. The most important being his realization what Glen Canyon damn did to the nature of his beloved Arizona. The most practical being taking on pricing in the cable/satellite business that opened up competition in such services.

My grandmother, on the other hand, is just shaking her head at me for my likely vote for Dean. Of course, at least I’m voting.

Denying A Federal Judicial Appointment=Slavery

Well in Leader La-La land that appears to be the argument. So the next time there is a Democratic President and they appoint a liberal African-American or Latino any opposition will be based on their race and not ideology, right?

I didn’t think so.

Really this whole line of argument needs to be declared dead by a corrolary to Godwin’s Law:

Godwin’s Law prov. [Usenet] "As a Usenet discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one." There is a tradition in many groups that, once this occurs, that thread is over, and whoever mentioned the Nazis has automatically lost whatever argument was in progress. Godwin’s Law thus practically guarantees the existence of an upper bound on thread length in those groups. However there is also a widely- recognized codicil that any intentional triggering of Godwin’s Law in order to invoke its thread-ending effects will be unsuccessful.

In this case making ridiculous arguments that compare a fight over ideology to slavery should just be ruled as forfeiting the argument.