Analysis of New Districts at Kos

They have put together analysis of the new Districts though a few spots are missing votes.  They use Obama 2008 numbers and then the 2010 numbers for Quinn, Giannoulias, and Kelly.  It’s a good job of describing the Districts and such, though I think they are overconfident in some of the downstate Districts like 17 where they wanted more Dems for 13.

 

Overall it illustrates that if you take 2008 as the best case scenario and 2010 as the worst, you see how the map makes sense and is about as good as it could be for Democrats.  I strengthens my contention that we see 12 reliably though not entirely safe Dem seats and another one that is a potential swing seat in Il 13.

18, 16, 15, 14, and 6 are Safe Republican.

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