The question being—who are the 27 %.
More interesting is that in an independent poll, Giannoulias shows a 38-26 margin over Schakowsky which is different from her poll released earlier in the week.
Schakowsky Favorability 42 – 8
Giannoulias Favorability 53 – 10
Where I would expect Jan to have the strongest numbers is with liberals, but Giannoulias leads in favorability (different from vote intention):
Schakowsky Favorability with liberals: 50 – 4
Giannoulias Favorability with liberals: 56 – 10
In terms of vote decision amongst liberals:
32 Giannoulias 28 Schakowsky 15 Burris
For Governor the vote decision is
45 Madigan 29 Quinn
and amongst liberals:
52 – 26
In both cases Schakowsky and Quinn and should be doing better with liberals given their past records. In Schakowsky’s case it isn’t that great of a difference, but Quinn is showing remarkable weakeness. In a perverse finding, Giannoulias does better with women than men, and Schakowsky does better with men than women in terms of favorability.
In terms of Burris he peaks at 48 % of the African-American vote in the poll meaning his first task would be to consolidate half of the African-American vote. Despite Del Marie Cobb’s efforts, African-Americans just don’t see his election as all that vital to their interests.