July 2011

Oops…Old Guy Walking With Cane Not Guilty of Assaulting Healthy Young Guy

The Kenneth Gladney joke comes to an end:

 

t took a St. Louis County jury less than 50 minutes to return a not guilty verdict in the assault trial featuring Kenneth Gladney and two union members who were charged with attacking him outside a two hall event during the tumultuoussummer of 2009.

The altercation itself was regrettable and was over almost before it began: the type of heated scuffle that happens countless times everyday in this crowded country, and everyday people move on with their lives.

But because this particular clash was captured on tape, and because Tea Party members went bonkers hyping it, and because right-wing media carnival barkers like Dana Loesch and Andrew Breitbart operate with no moral compass, the Gladney story blew up overnight and became a (demented) cause celebre among hardcore conservatives who hatched a weird fantasy about run-away union violence in America, not withstanding what was captured on the Gladney tape.

It’s difficult to capture just how madly the right-wing media overreacted to this story, doing its best to blow it up into a seismic, Rodney King-type of event. Fox News aired at least 20 segments mentioning Gladney, according to Nexis. Glenn Beck obsessed over the story. Breitbart penned a “I Am Kenneth Gladney” column in solidarity for the Washington Times. And CNN’s Lou Dobbs played dumb on the massive scale while hosting Gladney.

I was at the event, but had left a little bit before this all happened.   From what I could piece together from talking to people there, it was probably a slap fight that got out of hand and essentially mutual combat by slap fight.  Joy.

It was at this event I realized how out of control some of this was getting.  I posted some videos here and here

There were two problems who were liberals outside in the demonstration area and a few of asked one of them to leave. She was later arrested.  I’ve maybe seen that kind of anger at some abortion protests, but violence breaking out even in the form of a slap fight was fairly inevitable.

A Bit Late on Edelman

Busy early part of the week, but Jonah Edelman’s controversial remarks were responded to by the teachers’ unions who I think had the best response:

 

Stand for Children’s Tactics—Bad For Education and Politicians

7/12/2011

Statement from the Illinois Federation of Teachers, Illinois Education Association and the Chicago Teachers Union regarding the comments by Stand for Children’s CEO, Jonah Edelman, recorded at the Aspen Ideas Festival.

Video highlights of Edelman’s remarks can be found on YouTube.

We were disappointed to hear the views of Stand for Children’s leader and his own assessment of his organization’s involvement in Illinois politics.

We heard a lot from Jonah Edelman about power in politics, power over unions and management power over teachers. Sadly, we didn’t hear anything in that hour-long session about improving education.

Frankly, Edelman was never actively engaged in that collaborative process.

By falsely claiming to have manipulated people engaged in honest negotiations, Stand for Children’s leader jeopardizes the ability of education stakeholders to work collaboratively in the future. That can make it harder to improve education quality for children. That’s wrong.

What’s worse is that these false claims clearly show an organizational agenda that has nothing to do with helping kids learn.

Jonah Edelman’s mischaracterization of the SB7 negotiations will not change our commitment to do what is right for kids and to make sure the adults are treated fairly.

However, his openness about Stand for Children’s tactics and agenda will make it very difficult for any education advocate or politician to interact with the organization in the future.

Edelman apologized, but I’m not sure it really does any good given his entire bit was about trying to break up the teachers’ unions.  Rich has much of the coverage today.

I think Rich’s take is pretty fair.  Edelman did get one thing and that was Chicago teachers now cannot strike without a really extraordinary vote.  However, it’s unclear to me that he got anything else that wouldn’t have happened.  My first reaction was that Edelman was right to understand Madigan would remain in power and backing him was smarter.   I’m sure Bruce Rauner and others did hate to hear that, but it was reality.  However, I’m not sure other than the Chicago strike provisions, Stand for Children got much more than what would have happened without them.  IOW, the Speaker found someone to give him a lot of cash for doing things he’d have done anyway plus he got to annoy the unions on top of it.

 

From his statement:

After the election, Advance Illinois and Stand [for Children] had drafted a very bold proposal called Performance Counts. It tied tenure and layoffs to performance; it let principals hire who they choose; it streamlined dismissal of ineffective tenured teachers substantially – from two-plus years and $200 thousand-plus in legal fees on average to three to four months with very little likelihood of legal recourse. And most importantly, called for the reform of collective bargaining throughout the state, essentially proposing that school boards would be able to decide any disputed issue and impasse – so a very, very bold proposal for Illinois and one that six months earlier would have been unthinkable, undiscussable.

Tenure and layoffs are tied to performance and subject field so this section is partially a win for Advance Illinois, but not a big jump.  Dismissal changes I think are not as extreme as he makes it sound. It’s tied to the forthcoming evaluation of teachers ISBE is putting together to go into effect in 2012 in some districts.  The code he is using to me suggested he thinks this is all tied to test scores or such as these debates go, but the reality is that the system being put in place requires peer and principal evaluations on overall performance of teaching including lesson plans, classroom technique, etc.  There is some tie to test scores which is  a joke given the testing scheme isn’t adequate to actually measure performance of students and certainly not to tie it back to individual teachers.  However, the other portions of the evaluations should provide a reasonable process.  This process was in place since 2010 though and before Stand came into the state in any significant way.  Tenured teachers can’t be fired for the first bad evaluation though so he’s vastly overstating the timeline.  Instead of focusing on firing people right off the bat, the system is designed to provide coaching and mentoring for deficient teachers. This makes sense because what do you do if you just fire the teacher?  Hire a new teacher who you don’t have a good idea of how they will do? However, if they do receive bad evaluations and a second set of evaluators review the process, the ultimate firing process is sped up.  That hasn’t been terribly controversial, the question has been how to streamline the process, but still provide due process.  If the evaluation system works–and that’s a serious question given all the parts to it, this will be a much improved process. It’s hard to say then that Stand for Children got much in this arena.

On the issue of striking outside of Chicago, the right is retained, but both sides have to disclose their final offer, submit to some arbitration and then a strike can take place. That is nothing like giving school boards unilateral power.

After the election we went back to Madigan, and I confirmed – reviewed the proposal that we had already discussed and I confirmed the support. He said he was supportive. The next day he created an Education Reform Commission and his political director called to ask for our suggestions who should be on it. And so in Aurora, Ill., in December, out of nowhere, there were hearings on our proposal. In addition, we hired 11 lobbyists, including four of the absolute best insiders, and seven of the best minority lobbyists – preventing the unions from hiring them. We enlisted a state public affairs firm. We had tens of thousands of supporters. … We raised $3 million for our political action committee. That’s more money than either of the unions have in their political action committees.

Bragging that you got the absolute best insiders misses the point that the unions themselves don’t need a ton of outside lobbyists and unions don’t need money as much because they have the votes to provide to candidates.  More than anything, it’s incredibly slimy to do it, let alone brag about it.  Given Stand didn’t get that much, it should also be embarrassing if you hired that much firepower and didn’t get much for it.

Since the initial takeover in 1995 of the CPS by a board appointed by the Mayor, the unions have been generally a very reasonable and positive force for educational reform in Illinois.  This nonsense that the Tribune and people like Rauner spread about how they block any real progress is easily shot down by the results of the charters which don’t have great records of improved test scores.  There is a reason for this–poverty is the primary problem for our school systems poor performance.  Let’s look at the PISA scores that supposedly show how bad the United States is doing compared to other nations around the world.

 

Country Poverty Rate PISA score
United States < 10% 551
Finland 3.4% 536
Netherlands 9.0% 508
Belgium 6.7% 506
United States 10% – 24.9% 527
Canada 13.6% 524
New Zealand 16.3% 521
Japan 14.3% 520
Australia 11.6% 515
United States 25-49.9% 502
Estonia 501
Switzerland 501
Poland 500
United States 50-74.9% 471
Austria 471
Turkey 464
Chile 449
United States >75% 446
Mexico 425
NASSP

When you control for poverty, the United States is at the top of the performance ranking in schools with the same level of poverty as schools in nations with that level of poverty.  The problem is that few developed countries allow their children to group up in the level of poverty the United States does.  Finland, with its teacher corps with everyone has a Masters, it doesn’t even do as well as the United States when you control for poverty.  We have a world class educational system, but we have a piss poor social policy that allows poverty to fester.

There are things we can and need to do to address the educational system in high poverty districts.  Those districts face extra challenges and often are in rural or urban areas where the school system has been allowed to decline over time and due to usually worse pay and work conditions are a repository for bad teachers even while most of the faculty is still quite good and committed.  However, none of that will solve the entire problem until we address high concentrations of poverty.  Changes in high poverty districts can improve things, but will be tinkering ultimately.

The path being followed mostly is to use student testing to determine the quality of a District. The problem is that we do not collect adequate data and the data we use to evaluate student performance is mostly statistically invalid for the purposes we use it.  The new Illinois teacher evaluation system is an improvement over simply using testing data to evaluate teachers, schools, and districts, but it will be very difficult to implement.  If successful, it will improve accountability while also providing a fuller picture of teacher quality.

Teachers aren’t the problem largely. The problem has been high poverty districts where neglect by administrators and sometimes byzantine rules kept the portion of poor teachers sticking around.  Punishing them through taking away of collective bargaining as people like Edelman seem wont to do is nothing more than class warfare on top of an incredibly amount of ignorance about how to actually improve education.

Rare Video Of Michelle Bachman’s Family Life

One should also read what I would have sworn was an Onion article over at Petey’s site.

Going into the “leather market” was an experience. I started at the back of the room, with the intention of weaving my way through the aisles, so as not to miss anything and see all of the vendors. But I was inundated with images of rough men doing rough things to one another, and paraphernalia on sale for people to do rough and obscene things to one another. There were whips and chains and straps to tie people down; dildos [fake penises] in the size and shape if animal species’ erect penises. They were labeled baby elephant, donkey, horse…and the thought of where those things would go and what would be done with them, made me nauseous.

You know a way to avoid being grossed out by such things? Don’t go to the convention.

Just a Little Statistical Competence…Please

Quotes that make me cringe:

In 2014, the state test will switch to a new, more rigorous exam that will align with the Common Core, a set of curriculum standards adopted by states across the country to better prepare students for college.

Donoso, who is replacing Charles Payne, the interim chief education officer, is responsible for developing the district’s curriculum strategy and working with school leaders to carry it out. Her main focus in the coming years will be implementing the Common Core curriculum, which is designed to develop analytical skills beyond those currently tested on the ISAT.

Radner said CPS “needs to step it up” or scores are going to crash when the new test is given in 2014, calling the change “the biggest shift I’ve ever seen.”

“We can’t be complacent,” she said “This is a whole different generation of standards and assessment.”

 

Scores won’t crash.  They will change and a bunch of statistically illiterate people will be outraged because the numbers meeting expectations will be lower.  That has nothing to do with achievement levels falling–it has to do with using different standards.  In fact, scores won’t be directly compared at all.  What will be compared is the percent of students at level, below level, and above level.  This is a pretty much pointless exercise in comparing the old standards to new standards given they are very different. It is extremely likely the CPS will do poorly on such measures not because of anything the CPS does, but who the students are in the CPS.

Look at the PISA (international tests comparing achievement across countries) scores comparing US schools of a poverty level to nations of particular poverty levels:

 

Country Poverty Rate PISA score
United States < 10% 551
Finland 3.4% 536
Netherlands 9.0% 508
Belgium 6.7% 506
United States 10% – 24.9% 527
Canada 13.6% 524
New Zealand 16.3% 521
Japan 14.3% 520
Australia 11.6% 515
United States 25-49.9% 502
Estonia 501
Switzerland 501
Poland 500
United States 50-74.9% 471
Austria 471
Turkey 464
Chile 449
United States >75% 446
Mexico 425

Of course, only Mexico fits in the final category, but notice that the US schools in each level of poverty perform at the very top of the world. The problem is that few other countries allow high percentages of their children to live in poverty as the US does.  The United States, adjusted for poverty level, has students perform better than counterparts in other countries in every grouping.
That doesn’t mean we don’t need to provide the best education we can for the kids in high poverty schools, but the reality is those efforts will only be mildly successful because the chaos that accompanies poverty in those kids’ home lives will limit how the average student performs.  More time in the classroom may be a good thing for many of these kids because it is more time in a structured environment that kids need and crave.

The students in poverty are able to achieve, but poverty itself is a limiting factor.  Poverty breeds chaos in the home and that lack of structure will lead to poorer performance for those students. Some students overcome that and that’s wonderful, but the reality is that on average, socioeconomic status is the biggest predictor of student performance.  We can make marginal improvements in high poverty populations, but ultimately, existing in poverty will put a limit on how much improvement can take place.

Any outrage at the system that our great paternalistic and condescending news organizations want to throw out would be much better focused on alleviating poverty first. The CPS needs improvement in many ways, but all of these pseudo privatized solutions are not going to solve the core problems and the data already show that they are not significantly better than the CPS.

African-American Migration to the Suburbs

Rich links to a very good article by the Chicago News Coop on black migration to the south suburbs. One of the issues not discussed directly is housing stock.

 

While he checked the mailbox at the end of his driveway in the Ridgeland Estates subdivision, he said he would be interested in returning to the city only if he could move into a condominium on the lakefront. The $1,700 that he spends on his monthly mortgage payments for his spacious home in Matteson would be enough for no more than a small unit in a desirable section of Chicago, he said.

 

As African-Americans have been able to move with less interference from discrimination, they are making many  of the same housing choices that whites have been making for years.  The reality is that much of the housing in Chicago and some inner ring suburbs are small and less attractive to people who want a large home.  When you think about how to retain and attract residents, focusing only on jobs or education won’t work in isolation.  Jobs can be kept by commuting and most parents have a limited ability to actually make an informed decision about the quality of a school.  White parents, for example, tend to judge the quality of a school by the percentage of minority students attending it instead of actual performance measures.  A big part of people choosing where to live is what kind of housing they can obtain.  Many people want big homes today and not finding creative ways to address this means more middle class African-Americans will look elsewhere as they can.