2006
ArchPundit
Bloomington
Over at Capitol Fax, Bloomington’s numbers (separate from the McLean numbers)
Oberweis up 5 points over Judy in the city, while Brady still has nearly 60%
Very Early DuPage
Not sure of the geography, Judy 50%, Oberweis 25%.
Cegelis-Duckworth even
I’m betting these are early votes actually.
Two Pretty Clear Trends
Mangieri is probably toast unless Madigan delivers huge numbers. Second, Birkett seems likely to win the Lt. Gov race unless things change.
OTH, Judy and Oberweis may be a real nailbiter. Looking at the downstate numbers where I’d expect Judy to put some numbers over him, there’s not a big lead–this could change if she can carry DuPage strongly.
First bits of 6 In
Very early, but they are coming.
DuPage About to Come On Line
The numbers for Judy and Oberweis out of there should tell us a lot about the rest of the night–down in comments at IlliniPundit–McLean is going about 60% Brady, only 20% Topinka (a surprise to me) and 15% Oberweis, the importance if this holds up is that you’d expect Judy to put some numbers up on Oberweis in a lot of these areas. Confusing the situation worse is that turnout is funky in Central Illinois.
I Don’t Buy The Late Nite Bit
Everyone is claiming it’ll be a late night, but frankly, the only hard part is getting the voters to use the new equipment–counting is far easier when you don’t have to send the damn votamatics through a machine that jams and doesn’t work well and is built for the 1960s. I’d expect it to be not so bad in terms of lateness.
CDs Seals and McSweeney
Seals is holding relatively steady and McSweeney is up, but no idea on the geography. McSweeney around 38-40. Seals is running around 60-70
Lake County is heavy as of now
Watch Rich If You can or listen to me
But if you want local Chicago TV and you aren’t near the area, Channel 5 will be webcasting starting at nine.
Spot Check on Some Races
Looking around, Oberweis is slightly ahead or very close to Judy–whether this is significant it’s hard to say–given he might have spurred more early voting with die hard supporters, it could fade away.
Or it might not, but it is interesting.
Blagojevich appears to be hitting about 2-1 most places that have reported so far. Probably not as good as he’d like, but about what I’d expect.