2004

Four Tops Meeting Rumored

SpringfieldDem comes through with some gossip in comments:
Word here is that, on top of the bad Trib numbers, the four tops – sans Blago — met in Frank Watson’s office yesterday informally. The result was an agreement to begin working cooperatively on a “zero-growth plus” budget with the goal of acheiving a veto proof majority on the budget by Monday. See today’s Captiol Fax (subscrip req) for more details.

The key is Jones — who has a foot planted in both camps. However, given the Trib numbers, it seems unlikely that Jones makes his stand there.

Unless The Governor pulls a serious rabbit out of his hat, he could be heading towards a seriously embarrassing defeat

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Not to beat a dead horse, but Rich Miller’s Capitol Fax is a must see recently–for those that work in politics or for firms related, subscribe. And if you are politically geeky enough to care on your own–subscribe. Daily Papers can’t get this much.

Regular Reminders

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Air America

I’m a big fan. I find the morning show with Chuck D and the others decent and I really find Franken funny.

Many expected that liberals couldn’t demagogue and to some degree that is true (Randi Rhodes is quite good at it though). Franken plays well to what younger liberals find funny and is very entertaining. And the ratings show it.

They still need to work on the business plan, but I’m betting by years end they’ll be in most major cities. Rhodes is annoying, the guy after her weird and boring, but the Chuck D, Franken and night time show with Garafola are quite entertaining for partisans.

Errr…that isn’t Good Pal

OneMan catches the first hint at how bad the Blagorgeous is doing with the public.

The Trib poll is out and it has his job approval at 40 %.
That’s down from 55 % in February. Sort of similar to some other guy’s approval ratings.

The real problem at this point is for the Party-and I mean the Democratic Party. As far as I’m concerned any Democrat in tough race who doesn’t attack him is committing suicide so fire at will. That goes for Obama too. There is nothing that he has done that deserves loyalty or for that matter, he hasn’t done anything demonstrating his commitment to Democratic values. Instead he has acted like a petulant child and unless he starts making amends, he should be challenged. I’ll chip in for air fare to bring back Vallas.

That said, he’s going to lose in the showdown. Fighting a Lege takes discipline–you have to stay on message, find three of four clear targets where they are wrong and then beat it to death. The Blagorgeous can’t do that.

1) He doesn’t have the attention span
2) Madigan and Watson’s ploy of a zero growth budget means everyone gets the same they did the year before. No cuts–no targets.

Whether he realizes it or not, The Blagorgeous has lost this fight. He needs to reorganize as Clinton did in 1994 and go to Springfield and mend fences with Democrats. After that, he needs to go to Tom Cross and then finally to Tom Watson. Or he can simply plan on being ousted in the next primary.

This also means we’ll have Senate and Presidential numbers over the weekend. Any Trib employees are welcome to send me the raw numbers. 😉 And I won’t release them until the Trib is out–I just want to start analysing. archpundit@yahoo.com.

Schoenburg Tees Off

Bernard Schoenburg is known for writing columns in excruciating details about local politics including the inworkings of Sangamon County politics. In many ways he’s a pretty technical writer giving everyone the details and summarizing where different people are on an issue or in some race. Good stuff generally and while not the kind of thing to grab the attention of even all political junkies that kind of stuff really allows people to figure out what is going on. Every once in a while he drops a bomb and today is one of them:

Some people think Gov. ROD BLAGOJEVICH is bluffing when he talks about laying off thousands more state workers, or when stories suggest he’s making plans for how government might function if the budget morass isn’t settled by the beginning of the new fiscal year on July 1.

But having watched this governor since he became a serious candidate for the 2002 election, and having been to many of his Springfield appearances – when he takes the time to come to the capital city – I wouldn’t be surprised at anything he does.

Go read the rest because it is probably one of the single best descriptions of how Blagojevich governs. He doesn’t know too damn much about state operations and he assumes everyone else is lazy.

The problem is, it simply isn’t true. There are problematic state workers and agencies, but when you interview or observe many of them doing their job, they are for the most part incredibly conscientious people who do the best within the budgets and legal framework the elected officials give them. Much of the whining about inefficiencies can be found to have started in law or how money is allocated. In fact, one could argue that is much the case with the problems in the State Board of Education. I can make a good argument for reform of the institution, but that doesn’t mean the people doing it are horrible. Usually they are doing the job they were hired to do.

Blagojevich doesn’t see it that way though, he thinks they are humps. Those humps are people who educate your children, protect your environment, and build your roads and they deserve respect.