June 2004

The Fax on Potential Replacements

Rich Miller’s Capitol Fax has some scuttlebutt on

The name most mentioned yesterday as a possible Ryan replacement was Ron Gidwitz, a wealthy businessman and education reform crusader. Gidwitz has a lot of friends in the party, but he is not loved by Mayor Daley and the teachers’ unions, which he battled at the City Colleges of Chicago. Another name that popped up out of the blue is Jayne Thompson, the wife of the former governor, although nobody really knows if she’d even accept such an offer. Of course, there are also the other usual suspects, Jim Edgar, Jim Thompson (both of whom reportedly don’t want it), Judy Baar Topinka (doesn’t want it), Steve Rauschenberger (wants it, but lost the primary), Jim Oberweis (anti-illegal immigrant weirdness in the primary rules him out), etc.

While Dems first choice is for Ryan to stay in the race, Oberweis is a close second. He won’t even challenge Obama and frankly, those commercials were the funniest damn thing on TV. Flashback to Polis’ take on the helicopter commercials.

The Most Important Story in Chicago This Week

Is the Segal trial. Or should I say conviction and sentencing.

Is Kass perverted? No. A bit strange, yes.

My fantasies involve Segal sitting fully clothed–in an orange prison jumpsuit before a federal grand jury–spilling his guts about Chicago politicians and the Chicago way.

But the best news is that Segal got the book thrown at him:

Segal, found guilty of racketeering, faces 20 years in prison for dipping into protected insurance trust fund accounts to finance a fancy lifestyle of steaks, hookers, gourmet treats for his dog and other pleasures.

A jury on Tuesday had him forfeit $30 million of his own cash and recommended he also forfeit 60 percent of his company’s assets. He’ll probably lose his Highland Park mansion, surrounded by a sumptuous 17-acre yard. Segal pays a measly $689 a year in property taxes for those 17 prime North Shore acres.

Why is that good? Now the US Attorney has leverage over him and that is key to getting him to open up about his ties to various politicians around town. I haven’t touched much on it to date, but this story should be interesting to watch over the next 6 months and really far more important than Jack! and Jeri.

Does it go all the way up? Probably not, the Daley’s have a knack for not being directly involved, but turning a blind eye to corruption below them. It’ll be embarrassing, but ultimately the Mayor for Life is the Mayor for Life. He may threaten to take his pants down though.

The Biggest Ass in the Illinois Democratic Party

Is the Blagorgeous*

(via OneMan)
Maybe if little Rod would be nice and actually negotiate instead of campaigning all the time he’d get somewhere.

And thanks for paying per diem for 23 minutes yesterday Rod. It might be helpful to have business to discuss before wasting taxpayer money on 23 minutes. Perhaps next you can send out the State Police to make sure there is a quorum.

It looks like the Blagorgeous is going for broke. As of now, it looks like he is going broke, but he is talented.

*I liked Flowbeejovich, but the reader consensus is the Blagorgeous

Trib’s Defense of Going to Court

If find the stats amazing

In Cook County, there were more than 191,000 domestic relations cases filed from 1999 to 2003. Only 32 of those cases were sealed from public view. If you sought a divorce in Cook County, or just about anywhere else in the nation, chances are your records are wide open to scrutiny by anyone–friends, neighbors, reporters. You cannot have them closed to scrutiny.

Strangely, one of those 32 was Blair Hull. And another guy in a field of less than 20 had his closed in a different state–Jack Ryan. Hull seems to have not understood the warning flag that it sent up–Ryan understood it perfectly.

Can Jill Stanek Do Just a Little Research?

In the comment boards at the Illinois Leader she is defending the claim that Jack! told her the custody files were always sealed. This is false and nearly every press account explains this well. The custody files were sealed about one year after the divorce was finalized.

The custody documents, according to Jack, have always been sealed. If Jack has lied to me on this point, and to pro-family leaders he said the same thing to Monday, then his alleged charcter flaws will be exposed.

If Stanek bothered to even know anything about the subject she’d be embarrassed by this. As it is now, she seems happy to be oblivious.

The First Polling Data

Doesn’t look all that different from other polling data from before the file release.

The caveat to the above statement is that Southtown polls have had the race the closest so this may be a significant drop in support for Ryan.

Here is the report at Rasmussen. Rasmussen had them at 48-40 in the last poll—the closest any poll had previously.

The polling against three relatively popular Illinois Republicans isn’t very good either given what Republicans would want to see:

Former Governor Jim Edgar is essentially tied with Obama at this time (Obama 45% Edgar 42%).

The incumbent Senator, Peter Fitzgerald, trails Obama 47% to 40%.

Judy Baar Topinka is within 11 points of Obama, trailing 49% to 38%.

The Obvious Replacement Candidate

Is over at Austin Mayor

The GOP’s ideal candidate to run against Barack Obama will have to possess certain qualities:

1. He will need to have a history as a legislator to match up with Obama’s stellar career as a lawmaker;
2. He will need to be willing to enter a race where he has almost no chance of winning;
3. He will need to have that special “something” that allows him to win a race where he is the clear underdog…

Fortunately for the Illinois Republicans, such a man does exist:

Go to the link for the answer.