3rd District Poll Demonstrates This Isn’t Your Father’s Third District
(UPDATE: GRUMBLE, GRUMBLE–entirely my fault, I forgot to indicate the poll isn’t fresh–meaning it was done a while ago conducted Sept. 19-24 The particular questions below are not likely to be affected by the time passage so I thought it was reasonable in this case). And it was done by Pera, which I cannot believe I didn’t mention. My apologies.
Let me make a point that what I find most interesting about this is that the District isn’t that socially conservative District some insist it is. (end Update)
I didn’t see the entire poll, but I had enough questions answered regarding methodology to feel confident passing along the results I did see from the poll.
401 Likely Democratic Primary voters +/- 5%
Lipinski Re-elect 35 percent
Wrong Track: 81 percent
Generic Congressional Approval: 37 percent
82 percent Less likely to vote for Lipinski on the issue of choice once they learn that he opposes a woman’s right to choose and supports criminalizing abortion even in cases of rape or incest
83 percent Less likely they would vote for Lipinski after they learned that he voted for the Bush energy proposal and voted to allow drilling in the Artic National Wildlife Refuge
76 percent Favor a mandate calling for a pull-out of troops from Iraq beginning immediately with all troops out within a year as well as a cap on war funding to ensure the Bush Administration meets that goal
17 percent Favor a proposal calling for a complete pullout within five years and no cap on funding.
To put these in context, the District is rated +10 D by Cook, voted for Al Gore with 58% of the vote, and voted for Kerry with 59% of the vote.
This is a progressive District and those claiming it is the District are correct. This is not the District that went for Reagan. And more than that, the percentages between the City portion of the District and the suburban portion of the District are not significantly different.
Dan Lipinski is out of touch with Democratic voters in the Third and so he’s also out of touch with the entire District.
November 20th, 2007 at
All meaning that if Pera can raise a whole lot more money than he has now he can make this competitive. He also needs workers.
November 20th, 2007 at
I wish they had released the poll before 9/30…might have given fundraising a bigger boost…which means more ads.
He can go negative hard against Lip if he can keep the funds rolling in. Plenty of issues to go on the attack on.
November 21st, 2007 at
well, now i understand the need for the fourth candidate. i’d be uncomfortable with only three candidates in the race if my re-elect rate was 35%. i agree with rich’s points that pera needs the ground troops if he’s to pull this off…
November 21st, 2007 at
I don’t care if it’s an old poll, it’s fantastic news. Thanks.