ArchPundit

Illinois, From Misery
Subscribe
  • Home
  • Contact Information & Blog Bio
  • Advertising Liberally Blogs

Illinois Congressional Races: The Incumbents Facing the Wealthy

September 19, 2007 By: ArchPundit Category: Illinois Congressional Races

IL-16 Map

2004
Bush 55 %
Kerry 44 %

2000
Bush 54 %
Gore 43 %

Cook Partisan Index +4

Republican:  Don Manzullo, incumbent since 1992 and was Chair of the House Committee on Small Business. He’s a strong constituent service Member and avoids controversy to the point of being unknown outside of his District.

Democrat:  Robert Abood, a nuclear scientist, son of a wealth Chicago Banker, and President of the Barrington Hills Village Council.  He’s an interesting candidate because he has enough money to spend it to get the campaign going and is well known in the suburban Chicago area of the District.  He’s also running next to IL-14 with physicist Bill Foster creating an interesting issue of the crossover buzz with two scientists running.

Independent:  General John Borling ran as a write-in candidate last cycle and is threatening to run as an independent this cycle. Borling potentially could be a spoiler delivering the race to Abood since Borling is generally considered a Republican though socially moderate.  While he is unlikely to win, he can run a credible enough race to have a serious impact.

The District is a large district geographically going from the Northwestern Exurbs of Chicago to the Iowa state line with Rockford in the middle.  Rockford proper produces a good number of Democratic votes and will have to deliver good margins for this to be a race. Borling’s potential entry is the most likely reason this race could become one to at least keep one eye on it.  Abood also fits the profile of a guy who can make some headway in the suburbs.
IL-8 Map 

2004
Bush 56 %
Kerry 44 %

2000
Bush 56 %
Gore 42 %

Cook Partisan Index +5 R

Republican: A couple random guys, and Steve Greenburg, a businessman who can partially self-finance–a big plus for the GOP this year with bad RNCC fundraising.  He considered a race against Durbin, but reality set in and he took on a reasonably tough race, but one with a chance at least.

Democrat:  Incumbent Melissa Bean.  She won in 2004 against entrenched Republican fossil Phil Crane and won again in 2006 with 51.2 % of the vote compared to 43.7% for partial self funder David McSweeney and 5.1 % of the vote for independent candidate Bill Scheuer.

Bean works hard as an incumbent and has very good constituent service. She has a relatively moderate voting record and has broken with key Democratic constituencies on several issues making her unpopular with many activists.   Her only real vulnerability comes  from if she were to lose a lot of votes to Bill Scheuer again and Greenburg could make up some of the losses McSweeney faced.  But frankly, McSweeney was a decent candidate who worked hard and had strong base support for his run. It’s hard to see how Greenburg does better than him.

My guess is both of these districts are holds for the respective parties, but if one is going to break, it’ll be 16 if Borling gets in.

One Response to “ Illinois Congressional Races: The Incumbents Facing the Wealthy ”

  1. # 1 Nicole Says:
    September 20th, 2007 at

    Check this letter to the editor from the NW Herald on Aug 30th. Dont know how much pride Manzullo can take in his constituent service…

    Poor response
    Comments (7 comment(s))
    To the Editor:

    My family and I recently contacted our respective congressional representatives regarding my niece, who has been diagnosed with an aggressive form of cancer, and a federal agency under the jurisdiction of Congress.

    The reply from Don Manzullo’s staff was that they could not help because my niece is not a 16th District resident. End of story.

    Imagine my surprise when I found out that official inquiries to the agency in question had been made by Melissa Bean (Illinois’ 8th District), Frank Wolf (Virginia’s 10th District), and Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens.

    Amazing what people can do when they just want to do the right thing regardless of boundary issues. I am ashamed that my congressman could not have made a phone call. It was done by a representative from Virginia, a representative from Illinois’ 8th District, and a senator from Alaska who saw the need and picked up a phone.

    Thank goodness there still are some people in public office who are willing to think outside the box. With an election year drawing near, I would urge the constituents of the 16th District to consider the possibility of a more forward-thinking member of Congress to represent their interests in Washington.

    Joanne Gard

    Lake in the Hills

← The Wide Open Illinois Congressional Races
IL-10: The Republican Endangered →

  • blog advertising is good for you
  • Places To Find Me

    • Illinois Reason
    • Prairie State Blue
    • Daily Kos – ArchPundit
    • Show Me Progress
    • Illinoize
    • The Vital Voice
  • Illinois Blogs

    • Austin Mayor
    • Bridget in the Sixth
    • Progress Illinois
    • John Fritchey’s Open House
    • Peoria Pundit
    • OneMan
    • IlliniPundit
    • DJWinfo
    • Ellen of the Tenth
    • The Inside Dope
    • The 11th Hour
    • Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights
    • Illinois Democratic Network
    • Illinois Sierra Club
    • Move On and Shut Up
    • Where There’s a Will…
    • NarciBlog
    • Proviso Probe
    • Speaking Liberally
    • Reverse Spin
    • Russ Stewart
    • WurfWhile
    • Illinois Campaign for Political Reform
    • Spontaneous Solutions
    • McHenry County Blog
    • Illinois EnviroBlog
    • CTA Tattler
    • Gapers Block
    • Public Affairs
  • Illinois Press

    • The Capitol Fax
    • Change of Subject
    • Lynn Sweet
    • Illinois Issues
    • Illinois Channel
    • Sweeny Report
    • The Chicagoist
    • The Swamp
    • Clout Street
    • Clout City
    • News Bites
    • WCPT-820 AM
  • Illinois Specific

    • Daily Kos – Illinois
    • Stateline – Illinois
    • State Action – Illinois
  • Non-Political Illinois

    • Chicago Uncommon
  • BlogFathers

    • Daily Kos
    • MyDD
  • Progressive Organizations

    • Think Progress
    • Blog for Our Future
    • AFL-CIO
    • Working Life
    • CREW
    • AFSCME
    • Drum Major Institute
  • Liberal Blogs

    • Eschaton
    • Balloon Juice
    • Lawyers, Guns, and Money
    • AmericaBlog
    • Booman Tribune
    • Crooks and Liars
    • Hullabaloo
    • Firedoglake
    • OpenLeft
    • Street Prophets
    • Oliver Willis
    • Jesus’ General
    • The Poorman
    • Sadly No!
    • Talking Points Memo
    • TPM Election Central
    • TPM MuckRaker
    • TPM Horse’s Mouth
    • Pandagon
    • Cogitamusblog
    • Informed Comment
    • Brad DeLong
    • Pam’s House Blend
    • Seeing the Forest
    • The Reality Based Community
    • Rude Pundit
    • TalkLeft
    • Whiskey Fire
    • Cliff Schecter
  • Liberal Press Blogs

    • Matt Yglesias
    • Kevin Drum
    • Tapped
    • Washington Monthly
    • Paul Krugman
    • The ITT List
    • Unclaimed Territory
    • Ezra Klein
    • Beat The Press
    • Altercation
    • The Intersection
    • David Corn
    • Campaign Matters
    • Brave New Films
    • Chris Hayes
    • James Wolcott
    • Rachel Maddow
    • Spark – Air America
    • The Young Turks
    • Huffington Post
  • Democratic Party

    • The Stakeholder-DCCC
    • The Gavel-Speaker Pelosi
    • Kicking Ass-DNC
    • NDNBlog
    • The Democratic Strategist
    • From the Roots–DSCC
  • Political Comment-Polling

    • Political Wire
    • Pollster
    • Craig Crawford
    • The Hotline On Call
    • Blogometer
    • Ground Game
    • Political Arithmetik
    • Campaigns & Elections
    • CQ Polltracker
  • State Politics

    • Off The Kuff
    • Burnt Orange Report
    • Minnesota Campaign Report
    • Fired Up!
    • State Action
    • Progressive States Network
    • Stateline
    • The Thicket
  • Entertainment

    • The Watcher-Mo Ryan
    • Turn It Up-Greg Kot
    • OrbitCast
  • Sports

    • Trust But Verify
    • Podium Cafe
    • Bleed Cubbie Blue
  • BlogFathers

    • Daily Kos
    • MyDD
  • Democratic Party

    • From the Roots–DSCC
    • Kicking Ass-DNC
    • NDNBlog
    • The Democratic Strategist
    • The Gavel-Speaker Pelosi
    • The Stakeholder-DCCC
  • Entertainment

    • OrbitCast
    • The Watcher-Mo Ryan
    • Turn It Up-Greg Kot
  • Illinois Blogs

    • Austin Mayor
    • Bridget in the Sixth
    • CTA Tattler
    • DJWinfo
    • Ellen of the Tenth
    • Gapers Block
    • IlliniPundit
    • Illinois Campaign for Political Reform
    • Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights
    • Illinois Democratic Network
    • Illinois EnviroBlog
    • Illinois Sierra Club
    • John Fritchey’s Open House
    • McHenry County Blog
    • Move On and Shut Up
    • NarciBlog
    • OneMan
    • Peoria Pundit
    • Progress Illinois
    • Proviso Probe
    • Public Affairs
    • Reverse Spin
    • Russ Stewart
    • Speaking Liberally
    • Spontaneous Solutions
    • The 11th Hour
    • The Inside Dope
    • Where There’s a Will…
    • WurfWhile
  • Illinois Press

    • Change of Subject
    • Clout City
    • Clout Street
    • Illinois Channel
    • Illinois Issues
    • Lynn Sweet
    • News Bites
    • Sweeny Report
    • The Capitol Fax
    • The Chicagoist
    • The Swamp
    • WCPT-820 AM
  • Illinois Specific

    • Daily Kos – Illinois
    • State Action – Illinois
    • Stateline – Illinois
  • Liberal Blogs

    • AmericaBlog
    • Balloon Juice
    • Booman Tribune
    • Brad DeLong
    • Cliff Schecter
    • Cogitamusblog
    • Crooks and Liars
    • Eschaton
    • Firedoglake
    • Hullabaloo
    • Informed Comment
    • Jesus’ General
    • Lawyers, Guns, and Money
    • Oliver Willis
    • OpenLeft
    • Pam’s House Blend
    • Pandagon
    • Rude Pundit
    • Sadly No!
    • Seeing the Forest
    • Street Prophets
    • Talking Points Memo
    • TalkLeft
    • The Poorman
    • The Reality Based Community
    • TPM Election Central
    • TPM Horse’s Mouth
    • TPM MuckRaker
    • Whiskey Fire
  • Liberal Press Blogs

    • Altercation
    • Beat The Press
    • Brave New Films
    • Campaign Matters
    • Chris Hayes
    • David Corn
    • Ezra Klein
    • Huffington Post
    • James Wolcott
    • Kevin Drum
    • Matt Yglesias
    • Paul Krugman
    • Rachel Maddow
    • Spark – Air America
    • Tapped
    • The Intersection
    • The ITT List
    • The Young Turks
    • Unclaimed Territory
    • Washington Monthly
  • Non-Political Illinois

    • Chicago Uncommon
  • Places To Find Me

    • Daily Kos – ArchPundit
    • Illinois Reason
    • Illinoize
    • Prairie State Blue
    • Show Me Progress
    • The Vital Voice
  • Political Comment-Polling

    • Blogometer
    • Campaigns & Elections
    • CQ Polltracker
    • Craig Crawford
    • Ground Game
    • Political Arithmetik
    • Political Wire
    • Pollster
    • The Hotline On Call
  • Progressive Organizations

    • AFL-CIO
    • AFSCME
    • Blog for Our Future
    • CREW
    • Drum Major Institute
    • Think Progress
    • Working Life
  • Sports

    • Bleed Cubbie Blue
    • Podium Cafe
    • Trust But Verify
  • State Politics

    • Burnt Orange Report
    • Fired Up!
    • Minnesota Campaign Report
    • Off The Kuff
    • Progressive States Network
    • State Action
    • Stateline
    • The Thicket

  • blog advertising is good for you

  • blog advertising is good for you
  • Archives



ArchPundit © 2007 All Rights Reserved. Using WordPress 3.3.1 Engine
Entries and Comments.

Prosumer 1.4 made by Nurudin Jauhari